Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.008256 0.009673 0.011365 0.013566 0.016404 0.020008 0.025048
2025-10-12 0.006562 0.008291 0.010599 0.014018 0.019170 0.027053 0.040985
2025-10-19 0.005465 0.007228 0.009748 0.013813 0.020649 0.032707 0.058742
2025-10-26 0.004809 0.006589 0.009276 0.013925 0.022523 0.039832 0.085744
2025-11-02 0.004255 0.005985 0.008705 0.013673 0.023602 0.046004 0.118330
2025-11-09 0.003728 0.005339 0.007943 0.012885 0.023330 0.049039 0.146872
2025-11-16 0.003333 0.004847 0.007354 0.012278 0.023232 0.052515 0.184578
2025-11-23 0.003121 0.004624 0.007190 0.012447 0.024937 0.062276 0.279572
2025-11-30 0.002885 0.004333 0.006859 0.012205 0.025569 0.069311 0.390954
2025-12-07 0.002654 0.004028 0.006466 0.011751 0.025507 0.074018 0.516169
2025-12-14 0.002486 0.003814 0.006216 0.011565 0.026135 0.082208 0.761587
2025-12-21 0.002406 0.003749 0.006240 0.012007 0.028781 0.102622 1.625455
2025-12-28 0.002364 0.003762 0.006446 0.013006 0.034015 0.148525 8.618065
2026-01-04 0.002267 0.003663 0.006417 0.013434 0.037717 0.197781 148.414277
2026-01-11 0.002129 0.003475 0.006174 0.013240 0.038997 0.233882 NaN
2026-01-18 0.002029 0.003350 0.006050 0.013345 0.041659 0.298025 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001916 0.003187 0.005823 0.013108 0.042713 0.351821 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001779 0.002969 0.005448 0.012364 0.040988 0.358384 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001665 0.002789 0.005146 0.011791 0.039910 0.375863 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001607 0.002718 0.005086 0.011950 0.042765 0.498372 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001531 0.002604 0.004914 0.011721 0.043423 0.584530 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001450 0.002474 0.004691 0.011292 0.042731 0.631613 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001388 0.002381 0.004551 0.011116 0.043516 0.753654 NaN